Robot Shock and Effects on Elections

Robot Shock and Effects on Elections


Automation impacts voting behavior as it increases support for nationalist and radical-right parties. This is one of the key points of the working paper We Were the Robots: Automation and Voting Behavior in Western Europe. Massimo Anelli, Italo Colantone and Piero Stanig (Department of Social and Political Sciences) compared automation of production, employment and voting behavior in 15 Western European countries, between 1993 and 2016.
In order to compute a measurement of the robot shock, they performed the analysis on a regional basis. “We considered the composition of employment by industry in each region before the shock. Then we measured the pace of adoption of robots in each region and compared it to election results.” The paper shows that the robot shock affected different industries than those affected by globalization and by Chinese competition in particular, but it has similar political consequences: it causes an average 2.5% increase in the support for radical-right parties.
The paper also introduces an interesting methodological innovation. The authors compute an individual-level measure of exposure to the robot shock related to age, education, gender, and place of residence. The measure is based on the predicted probabilities of employment of an individual in each industry, according to the pace of adoption of robots. “This measure allows us to control for the effect of other variables on voting behavior and to predict the employment that each individual would have had without automation.” The model can therefore tell us the voting behavior of the 25-year-old who fries burgers and who would have worked on the assembly line of an automotive industry in the early ’90s.

Read more about this topic:
How to Survive Changes in Employment, Without the Need for Winners and Losers
Labor Law Needs a Check-Up
It’s Easy to Adopt a Technology, But Hard to Renew Skills
Machines Are Now Replacing Creative Work Too
Europe. The Illusion of Advanced Services
Millennials Want More Feedback from Employers
Soon Even Banking Will Be a Sexy Job
An Operations Manager Makes Healthcare More Fluid

by Claudio Todesco


All News
  • Bocconi's School of Law Joins the American Society of Comparative Law

    The association, founded in 1951, publishes the prestigious American Journal of Comparative Law  

  • Saving the Oceans from the Land: The Role of Businesses

    Two thirds of Mediterranean businesses are unaware of their impact on marine sustainability or are inactive in mitigation. But there is hope, thanks to the 34% of companies defined as sustainability leaders, according to a Report for the One Ocean Foundation by researchers from SDA Bocconi, McKinsey, and CSIC  


  November 2019  
Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
        1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
11 12 13 14 15 16 17
18 19 20 21 22 23 24
25 26 27 28 29 30  


All Seminars
  • Bank Transparency and Deposit Flows

    Itay Goldstein, Wharton University of Pennsylvania

    Meeting Room 2.e4.sr03 - Via Roentgen, 1

  • Bayesian Auctions with Efficient Queries
    Economic Theory, Decision Theory and Experimental Economics

    Jing Chen (Stony Brook University) Paper

    Seminar Room 3.e4.sr03 - Via Roentgen 1